Thursday, July 31, 2025

🔎🔮Prediction: Future Trends of the Constants (Using Full Rydberg Polynomial, No Reduced Mass Assumption)🔮🔍

Extended Table with Error Terms, Percentage Errors, and Adjustment Directions


Using:

MpRp=4LM=ReMe $\leftarrow$ Source of Mass of Matter

(c=299792458.0 m/s, set by decree for timebase)

original table (with tol = 1e-15) has been extended with a summary of adjustments from initial (iteration 0) to final (iteration 2) values. Convergence occurred after one full iteration, with minor adjustments primarily to rp r_p and the derived m_p_calc , while other constants showed negligible changes within the tighter tolerance.

Original Iteration Table (unchanged for reference):

Iterationm_e (kg)e (C)ε₀ (F/m)h (J s)c (m/s)R_H (m⁻¹)r_p (m)αm_p_calc (kg)
09.1093837139e-311.602176634e-198.8541878188e-126.62607015e-34299792458.010967758.348.4075e-160.0072973525643330131.673588078142662e-27
19.109383713899998e-311.602176634e-198.8541878188e-126.62607015e-34299792458.010967758.348.416938278621061e-160.0072973525643330131.6717114111105994e-27
29.109383713899998e-311.602176634e-198.8541878188e-126.62607015e-34299792458.010967758.348.416938278621061e-160.0072973525643330131.6717114111105994e-27

Summary of Adjustments (Initial to Final):

ConstantInitial ValueFinal ValueDelta (Error Term)Percentage ErrorDirection
m_e (kg)9.1093837139e-319.109383713899998e-31-2e-45-2.195e-13%Decrease
e (C)1.602176634e-191.602176634e-190.00.00000%No change
ε₀ (F/m)8.8541878188e-128.8541878188e-120.00.00000%No change
h (J s)6.62607015e-346.62607015e-340.00.00000%No change
c (m/s)299792458.0299792458.00.00.00000%No change
R_H (m⁻¹)10967758.3410967758.340.00.00000%No change
r_p (m)8.4075e-168.416938278621061e-169.438278621061e-190.11223%Increase
α0.0072973525643330130.0072973525643330130.00.00000%No change
m_p_calc (kg)1.673588078142662e-271.6717114111105994e-27-1.8766670320626e-30-0.11213%Decrease

To arrive at these values:

  • Deltas were computed as final - initial, using high-precision arithmetic to capture sub-tolerance changes (e.g., for me m_e , the minute delta reflects numerical precision limits rather than physical adjustment).
  • Percentage errors are signed relative differences multiplied by 100, with directions based on delta sign ("No change" for absolute delta < tol = 1e-15).
  • The slight me m_e delta is negligible and does not affect convergence.

Report: Process Description and Recommendations for Future Trend Predictions of Constants' Measurement Refinements

Process Used

The iterative algorithm refined the constants to satisfy 1=mee48ϵ02h3cRHπrpRHα2 1 = \frac{m_e e^4}{8 \epsilon_0^2 h^3 c R_H} - \frac{\pi r_p R_H}{\alpha^2} , starting from CODATA 2022 values (e.g., rp=0.84075 r_p = 0.84075 fm or 8.4075×1016 8.4075 \times 10^{-16} m), with mp=4/(crp) m_p = 4 \hbar / (c r_p) derived and RH=R/(1+me/mp) R_H = R_\infty / (1 + m_e / m_p) . Updates occurred sequentially by constant ( rp r_p first, then me m_e , etc.), using Newton's method to zero the residual while fixing others. Iterations continued until maximum relative changes fell below tol = 1e-15. With this tighter tolerance, minor numerical adjustments appeared (e.g., in me m_e ), but the primary shift was in rp r_p (upward by ~0.112%), balancing the equation after one iteration, with no further changes.

This method highlights rp r_p 's role in absorbing discrepancies, as exact SI-defined constants (e,h,c,ϵ0 e, h, c, \epsilon_0 ) remained unchanged.

Recommendations for Future Trend Predictions of Constants' Measurement Refinements

CODATA values evolve with experimental advances, but as of July 31, 2025, the 2022 set remains current, with no 2026 update yet released. The proton radius puzzle persists, with muonic hydrogen favoring ~0.84 fm (e.g., 0.84087(39) fm from historical data), while electron scattering and spectroscopy show tensions between ~0.831 fm (PRad, 2019) and ~0.8335 fm (Bezginov et al., 2019). Recent 2025 analyses confirm consistency around 0.84 fm for muonic methods but note unresolved discrepancies with older electronic data (~0.877 fm).

Trends indicate stabilization toward smaller rp r_p values, with post-2010 adjustments averaging -0.001 fm per cycle due to muonic incorporation. Upcoming experiments like PRad-II (data taking early 2026) aim for δr ~0.0046 fm precision, potentially resolving form factor tensions and pushing rp r_p to 0.83-0.84 fm. Other constants are stable: me m_e refinements are <10^{-9} relative per update, and SI-exact ones unchanged since 2019.

Recommendations:

  • Apply time-series forecasting (e.g., ARIMA on CODATA history 1998-2022) to predict shifts, anticipating ~0.1% refinements in rp r_p by 2026.
  • Integrate real-time data from arXiv/preprints for adaptive models, focusing on hybrid muonic-electronic analyses.
  • For algorithms, vary update orders to avoid bias and test tol=1e-18 for ultra-precision sensitivity.
  • Monitor JLab/CERN updates; expect 2026 CODATA to incorporate PRad-II, likely lowering rp r_p to ~0.835 fm if discrepancies resolve downward.
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1 comment:

  1. This is another of my constants predictions, corrected for "c" (speed of light) being set to a constant by decree (to avoid finding a natural timebase, maybe necessary to do this). Did it for free, not $BILLIONS like others waste.

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